Sunday, January 8, 2012

2011 Season Review: These Aren't Your Daddy's Seahawks

Ohh dream weaver..I believe you can get me through the night..

As we all know, low expectations are the norm for Seattle sports in general. They were even more so for the 2011 Seahawks who were coming into a post-lockout shortened season with one of the largest roster churns in NFL history that contained a plethora of young inexperienced players. Some writers lamented that this could be a parallel season to the 1992 Seahawks who had just lost longtime franchise quarterback Dave Krieg and head coach Chuck Knox (hmm.. that sounds especially relevant). They ended up scoring an average of 8.8 points per game and finished with a record of 2-14.

Well, allow me to make the obligatory lame reference to the title of this post by insisting that these aren’t your daddy’s 1992 Seahawks. Despite starting 2-6, the team this year has managed to win 5 of the last 8 games. Until Week 16's disappointing loss, they were legitimate contenders for the playoffs. In fact, if it weren’t for a phantom block-in-the-back penalty at Cleveland, a blown coverage on 3rd-19 against the Redskins, and a botched run play on 3rd-goal during week 16, they would likely be in the playoffs again. But I digress. Success for a team in the stages of rebuilding shouldn’t be judged in terms of wins and losses anyhow. They should be evaluated with respect to level of player development and cementing of key foundations. By this more appropiate standard, this season’s Seahawks have unquestionably made immense progress. The fact that our defense finished within the top 10 of any meaningful category on defense is just icing on the cake.

Under the design of Pete Carroll, the 2011 Seahawks have created an identity as a hard-hitting gritty defense and a smashmouth offense that wants to run the ball down opponents throats. Unlike last season where when they lost it was on average by 21 points, this team has shown that they can go toe-to-toe with almost any other team and give them a run for their money. They finished with the same 7-9 record as last season but you would have to have the football IQ of uh, well, somebody that doesn’t understand football not to see the meaningful improvement.

Naturally, this team still has some holes to address –the long term QB most critically–and aren’t near serious playoff contention yet. But things are definitely going to plan so far. Don’t forget your raybans because the future looks pretty bright. My notes and reaction to the season below:


The Good – Areas to build on.

Earl Thomas and Kam Chancellor are the real deal and could be developing to become one of the best safety tandems in the entire NFL. It’s true that with only 2 interceptions ET hasn’t had the type break out season we anticipated. As per his first pro bowl selection, that’s doesn’t mean he hasn’t been hugely impactful. He’s been very active at the line of scrimmage with safety blitzes which have resulted in several tackles for loss. In my view, Kam is the backbone of the beastly defensive identity (see here and here for a brief visual summary). For instance, I recall from MNF against the Rams when Lance Kendricks and Austin Pettis appeared to shy away from making plays on the ball when they were in Kam’s zone of coverage, wary of the wood he would lay on them. Moreover, for a big strong safety he has been great in coverage making plays on the ball.

We have a promising secondary overall which includes Brandon Browner, Richard Sherman, and Walter Thurmond III. Browner was a real gem in the rough considering Schneider recruited him from the Canadian Football League and he ended up being a first alternate to the probowl this year. Other than being one of the most penalized players in the league, he’s a high risk – high reward type of corner. He had a lot of plays that were game winners (“Screw you and your Houdini like catches, Victor Cruz! I’m taking this one to the house!”) and ones that were game losers (whoopsy-daisy blown coverage on 3rd-19 against the Redskins and against Michael Crabtree in week 16). This was his first season –with hardly any training camp– in the NFL so I think there’s upside with him in terms of cutting down on penalties and improving his tendency to surrender big plays at critical times. Fifth round pick Richard Sherman certainly cemented his starter job at left corner and did a better job shutting down opposing receivers, in my opinion. The graph below shows that after Sherman became our starting left corner opposing QBs (that weren’t Tony Romo) didn’t really post above average passer ratings. Of course, I’m not suggesting Sherman is exclusively responsible for that decline, just food for thought.



The quality of receiver depth is easily the best in the division (maybe conference) and we have established pro bowl talent in Sidney Rice. Golden Tate improved immensely –he had 0 drops all season!– and we finally saw some of that flashy athleticism he displayed at Notre Dame. Obomanu and Deon Butler are dependable. More recently, Ricardo Lockette impressed with his limited playtime. The Rams front office would have ritualistically sacrificed a small child to add one of these guys to their dearth of receiving talent that plagued Sam Bradford this season. Lastly, don’t fret yet about Mike William’s disappointing season and start trashing his comeback story. BMW is a physical receiver that relies on accurate QBs to throw the ball into small windows where he can out-wrestle defensive backs – which is why he was so successful with Hasselbeck. QBs like T-Jack thrive with shifty receivers who can effectively separate. Let’s first see what changes at QB this next season and/or if T-Jack can get develop better synergy with him that comes after a full off-season.

Doug Baldwin gets his own bullet point.

The steady o-line improvement and success of the Marshawn Lynch ‘Beef Moe’ run game has a lot to do with the work Tom Cable has done here. Even with our three starters from the line on injured reserve–including two 1st round picks no less! – the line of 2nd string backups continued to successfully assert the run game. This a testament to the success of Cable’s zone blocking scheme which rewards familiarity more than raw talent. Yes, the jury is still out on James Carpenter and John Moffitt but clear improvements could be seen. Max Unger is quietly doing a fantastic job in the interior. Fans worried about Russell Okung’s injury proneness can relax. Okung played every game until he was injured to no fault of his own when Trent Cole, frustrated by Okung’s domination, took a cheap shot on him after the whistle was blown. After the slow start to the season Okung did an excellent job containing talented DEs/LBs such as Osi Umenyiora, DeMarcus Ware, Terrell Suggs, and Ryan Kerrigan with little help. He’s everything we could have hoped for and possibly more from our 2010 1st round pick.


The Bad – Areas that need improvement.

Special teams coverage was a huge a liability. And I’m not just solely thinking of week 1 where Ted Ginn Jr returned two TDs just after the Seahawks had regained momentum and started threatening. I’m also thinking about Brandon Tate’s punt return for a touchdown which sealed the game for the Bengals. I’m thinking of how for most of the season the Hawks were passively losing the battle for field position in general. It wasn’t until they signed Heath Farwell in late October did Seahawks fans start feeling like they might not have an aneurism after every kick return.

The breakdown of run defense in 2nd half of season can’t happen with this kind of defensive line. Up until week 9 at Dallas the Seahawks had been the best run defense in the NFL in terms of yards-per-carry (ypc) only allowing 3.15. From week 9 until finish they averaged an unacceptable 4.5 ypc. In our 4-3 defense the typical personnel grouping on the line is Chris Clemmons, Brandon Mebane, Alan Branch, and Red Bryant. You’ll notice that with the exception of Clemmons the rest of the linemen are all 310lbs+ tanks. With the exception of Clemmons, they’re meant to be immovable objects for stopping the run, not breathing down the QB’s throat. Shields, not spears. When you design a line with these types of players, as Pete Carroll did, you are intentionally sacrificing pass-rush players for stopping the run. I’m not sure what happened to the run defense in the later half because unlike last season with Red Bryant there were no critical injuries on the line. When you lay down these kinds of personnel resources dedicated to stopping the run you have to, well, STOP THE RUN. CONSISTENTLY.



The game management could be better from our coaching staff. Keep in mind that I’m not typically one of those annoying fans that complains about terrible play calling when something goes wrong. When it comes to scheme fans should generally give some benefit of the doubt to the coaches/coordinators because its kind of their profession and, well, they sort of know more about football than we do. However, I’m talking about the tendency our coaching staff to make some poor decisions in general at times. A 61 yard field goal, for real? Going for it on 4th-2 with 14 seconds left in the half with no timeouts instead of kicking a FG? 1st and goal on the 2 yard line and were going to pass all downs with Charlie Whitehurst who has been inept all day? Even after Leon Washington just carried for 20 yards on 3 carries on the same drive? You get my drift.


The Ugly – I’m bleeding from my eyes watching this!

Charlie Whitehurst also gets his own bullet point.

We were the second most penalized team after the Raiders. You probably know this because the broadcasters never failed to remind us at every possible moment during the later half of the season. But what’s really bad was that a large portion of these penalties weren’t from young inexperienced guys that are on a learning curve. Veterans like Raheem Brock, Robert Gallery, and Paul McQuistan were some of the most penalized Seahawks players. Even if we do draft or sign our young dreamboat quarterback of the future, the offense in particular is likely to remain volatile and inconsistent until the QB gains experience. These penalties will continue to kill us.

The utter lack of pass-rush or QB pressure was really hard to stomach. Throughout the season opposing QBs typically had enough time in the pocket to file for their taxes or at least get play a few rounds of Angry Birds on their smart phones. And then once they got bored of that they could scramble out of the pocket for about 10 yards. I don’t care which QB you are. Even guys like Alex Smith, Rex Grossman, and John Skelton will cut through good defensive coverage if they are allowed to make reads forever. It’s clear PC was really hoping Raheem Brock would have another strong year as a situational pass-rusher (fail). Despite the Seahawks supremacy being on the defensive side of the ball, this is easily the most important area that needs to be addressed next to the quarterback position.

Zach Miller actually switched positions from TE to FRT (far right tackle). To be sure, Zach Miller had to figure he would be doing a lot of blocking with a new offensive line (including two rookies and one sophomore) that had never played together coming in from a shortened off-season. But seriously, 25 receptions? That’s not even half the amount he had in any of his seasons at Oakland since 2008. Miller is way too talented to justify that.

And just in case you think I didn't give enough love to the beast mode in this article:

2 comments:

  1. I know you mentioned Walter Thurmond, but I think it is important to note that he was doing really well before he got hurt. I think this should make for an interesting preseason battle next year. It should also give us a great nickel package.

    I would say the receiver depth is the best in the conference but definitely not the division. Green bay and New Orleans are clearly better and, even with their down year, Philly probably is also. Although if Doug Baldwin continues to improve we have a serious chance to overtake Philly in receiver depth.

    The work of the O-line can not be mentioned enough. It was amazing to see them grow. After watching the first couple of games they looked like they were going to be awful. However, by the end of the year they were one of our biggest strengths. Paul McQuistan especially stepped up. Starting LT, RG and RT at some point in the season. Beast Mode even said he was the team MVP.

    Like I mentioned in an earlier post, I dont expect the penalties to get any better. Pete Carroll and his staff just dont run the kind of team where penalty mitigation is emphasized.

    I think Red Bryant deserves his own bullet as well. The guy was a kicing blocking, interception catching beast. Even if the run defense suffered in the second half he was awesome. He is probably my favorite new seahawk. If only he could get a sack once and a while.

    Finally I 100% agree with you about the need or a pass rusher. I definitely think we need an elite DE before we need a QB. Having someone like Julius Peppers or Jared Allen strike fear into the hearts of every starting QB is a major advantage of great teams.

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  2. WTIII was looking very good indeed. In fact, if that continues it might make sense to have him replace Browner at starting CB for match-ups that are against smaller/faster receivers such as Mike Wallace.

    It's hard to judge the receiver depth in NO and GB who have guys like Drew Brees throwing to them. What I'm really saying is that I won't panic if Sidney Rice goes down knowing we have Tate or Obomanu to step up.

    I also thought LeMeul Jean-Pierre also played well as a replacement at right guard. If Moffitt struggles for a while next season he should be put into competition with Jean-Pierre for the starting spot.

    With regard to penalties, I'm more inclined to attribute them to team youth and lack of an off-season rather then coaching explicitly (though I note that a lot of penalties came from veterans). We'll see if there's a meaningful decline in penalties next year.

    I wanted to give Big Red his own bullet-point too. But that becomes tricky because individually most of the d-line looks really good despite being an inconsistent unit together overall. Brandon Mebane was actually very disruptive and led the NFC in tackles from interior linemen. Chris Clemons, as the team's sole pass-rusher, also tied last year's season high of 11 sacks.

    I'm skeptical that we will get a DE position for purpose of getting to the QB. Most of the long-term front 4 in our 4-3 defense have already been assembled. Mebane is for sure here for the long-haul. They will likely re-sign Big Red for this season and Clemons next year too if he continues to play at this high level. This just leaves Alan Branch who is still under contract for next season. I doubt they will spend early draft capital on a situational DE that only on estimated passing-downs to replace Red. That's what they did with Brock this season and who they would be replacing. Instead, I wouldn't be surprised if the LBs get re-engineered with the purpose of QB pressure since most of the DEs are already dedicated run-stoppers. Just be prepared to part ways with Leroy Hill and/or David Hawthorne who are free agents. If they draft Zach Brown or sign Mario Williams (hey, a man can dream) then that's an indication we will shift QB-pressure responsibility to the LBs.

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