The Mariner and Home Runs: Dead Ball Era Revisited

As you may have noticed the Seattle Mariners don't have much power this year on their team. So far through 24 games they have hit 9 homers. If they continue on at this rate they are on a pace to hit 60.75 HR all year. The Mariners can't possibly keep up this record setting pace of un-power can they?

To help try and answer that question I looked at the combined HR totals of all the position players currently on the roster form 2009. Last year the Mariners current players hit a total of 122 homers. That is a good sign. We can even take away the 19 that Griffey hit and the M's were still at 103.

Also a season ending HR total of 60 would be completely unheard of in this era. The lowest HR total by a team in the last 10 years is 94 by the 2008 Giants. The average lowest is 114.27HR. You have to go back to 1991 to find a team that hit less 70 HR and that was the Cardinals with 68.

Basically the Mariners current HR rate is unsustainable. They are going to start hitting homers eventually. They are going to have to hit them in bunches. That or they are going to bring back the Deadball era.